Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.576576 3.801472 4.042715 4.322446 4.640101 4.992348 5.416416
2025-05-11 3.299785 3.610155 3.962169 4.397078 4.929045 5.571590 6.428512
2025-05-18 3.048731 3.408333 3.833960 4.387361 5.108546 6.050437 7.441607
2025-05-25 2.791361 3.168484 3.628728 4.250359 5.101600 6.287795 8.208395
2025-06-01 2.615676 3.009763 3.504259 4.196394 5.191067 6.672712 9.330367
2025-06-08 2.475456 2.882012 3.404674 4.160033 5.295583 7.101827 10.718184
2025-06-15 2.376424 2.798068 3.353064 4.181235 5.485796 7.715704 12.815192
2025-06-22 2.254025 2.673778 3.235049 4.091075 5.484655 7.997196 14.402435
2025-06-29 2.130424 2.539917 3.093374 3.950333 5.378328 8.055730 15.496607
2025-07-06 2.037747 2.442590 2.996132 3.867504 5.357752 8.280974 17.328556
2025-07-13 2.015162 2.439495 3.032200 3.994671 5.725801 9.450500 24.326849
2025-07-20 1.978884 2.414555 3.033670 4.065172 6.002410 10.540789 34.848441
2025-07-27 1.948388 2.401286 3.059269 4.193179 6.452634 12.461182 73.336481
2025-08-03 1.900709 2.360723 3.040677 4.244544 6.765055 14.297387 285.839989
2025-08-10 1.840535 2.298660 2.984289 4.222527 6.914323 15.774079 NaN
2025-08-17 1.761409 2.204828 2.871852 4.086484 6.769538 15.992780 NaN
2025-08-24 1.704693 2.141974 2.805469 4.030790 6.813498 17.166476 NaN
2025-08-31 1.655930 2.088820 2.751503 3.993354 6.897930 18.722239 NaN
2025-09-07 1.621121 2.055101 2.727061 4.010494 7.132988 21.633717 NaN
2025-09-14 1.570118 1.994466 2.654573 3.925303 7.068708 22.570438 NaN
2025-09-21 1.513915 1.923940 2.562428 3.793707 6.850990 22.140625 NaN
2025-09-28 1.470546 1.871820 2.498996 3.716094 6.779300 22.912173 NaN
2025-10-05 1.463570 1.875548 2.529610 3.833613 7.317530 31.099065 NaN